Epidemics.
Publisher:
Elsevier
Frequency: Quarterly
Country: Netherlands
Language: English
Start Year:2009 -
ISSN:
1755-4365 (Print)
1878-0067 (Electronic)
1878-0067 (Linking)
1878-0067 (Electronic)
1878-0067 (Linking)
Impact Factor
3.8
2022
| NLM ID: | 101484711 |
| (OCoLC): | 416086275 |
| LCCN: | 2009243410 |
| Classification: | W1 EP448DT |
Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco. African horse sickness virus (AHSV) is a vector-borne virus spread by midges (Culicoides spp.). The virus causes African horse sickness (AHS) disease in some species of equid. AHS is endemic in parts of Africa, previously emerged in Europe and in 2020 caused outbreaks for the first time in parts of Eastern Asia. Here we analyse a unique historic dataset from the 1989-1991 emergence of AHS in Morocco in a naïve population of equids. Sequential Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques are used to estimate parameters for a spatial-temporal model using a transmission kernel. These para...