Estimating Temporally Variable Selection Intensity from Ancient DNA Data.
Abstract: Novel technologies for recovering DNA information from archaeological and historical specimens have made available an ever-increasing amount of temporally spaced genetic samples from natural populations. These genetic time series permit the direct assessment of patterns of temporal changes in allele frequencies and hold the promise of improving power for the inference of selection. Increased time resolution can further facilitate testing hypotheses regarding the drivers of past selection events such as the incidence of plant and animal domestication. However, studying past selection processes through ancient DNA (aDNA) still involves considerable obstacles such as postmortem damage, high fragmentation, low coverage, and small samples. To circumvent these challenges, we introduce a novel Bayesian framework for the inference of temporally variable selection based on genotype likelihoods instead of allele frequencies, thereby enabling us to model sample uncertainties resulting from the damage and fragmentation of aDNA molecules. Also, our approach permits the reconstruction of the underlying allele frequency trajectories of the population through time, which allows for a better understanding of the drivers of selection. We evaluate its performance through extensive simulations and demonstrate its utility with an application to the ancient horse samples genotyped at the loci for coat coloration. Our results reveal that incorporating sample uncertainties can further improve the inference of selection.
© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Society for Molecular Biology and Evolution.
Publication Date: 2023-01-21 PubMed ID: 36661852PubMed Central: PMC10063216DOI: 10.1093/molbev/msad008Google Scholar: Lookup
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Summary
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This research article discusses a new Bayesian framework that allows researchers to study past selection processes through ancient DNA, despite challenges such as postmortem damage and fragmentation. This method enables the reconstruction of population allele frequency trajectories through time to better understand the drivers of selection.
Introduction
- The research revolves around the study of ancient DNA (aDNA) to explore temporal changes in allele frequencies—a direct indicator of genetic variation stemming from evolution.
- These genetic time series could potentially improve power for the inference of selection and test hypotheses about the drivers of past selection events such as the incidence of plant and animal domestication.
- However, studying aDNA involves several challenges including postmortem damage, high fragmentation, low coverage, and small sample sizes.
Novel Bayesian Framework
- To overcome these challenges, the authors introduced a novel Bayesian framework.
- This framework estimates temporally variable selection based on genotype likelihoods instead of allele frequencies. This method aims to account for uncertainties resulting from the damaged and fragmented state of aDNA molecules.
- The Bayesian approach allows the researchers to reconstruct the underlying allele frequency trajectories of the population through time.
- Such reconstructions could provide more insights into what may have driven selection in the past.
Evaluation and Application
- The authors evaluated the performance of their model through extensive simulations.
- They also demonstrated its practical utility by applying it to ancient horse samples, specifically genotyped at the loci for coat coloration.
- The results of this study showed that the incorporation of sample uncertainties into the model could improve the inference of selection.
Conclusion
- The authors believe their novel Bayesian framework can potentially circumvent the limitations of studying aDNA and offer a more accurate and comprehensive understanding of past selection events.
- This approach could allow scientists to explore the genetic basis of evolution based on fossil and archaeological samples more effectively and could offer insights into the timeline of genetic changes and drivers of these changes.
Cite This Article
APA
He Z, Dai X, Lyu W, Beaumont M, Yu F.
(2023).
Estimating Temporally Variable Selection Intensity from Ancient DNA Data.
Mol Biol Evol, 40(3), msad008.
https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msad008 Publication
Researcher Affiliations
- Cancer Research UK Beatson Institute, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
- Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
- The Blizard Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom.
- School of Mathematics, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.
- School of Biological Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.
- School of Mathematics, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.
MeSH Terms
- Animals
- Horses / genetics
- DNA, Ancient
- Bayes Theorem
- Gene Frequency
- DNA / genetics
- Time Factors
- Models, Genetic
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Citations
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