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The prediction of stress fractures using a ‘stressed volume’ concept.

Abstract: This paper addresses an anomaly which exists in the current literature regarding stress fractures. Analysis of the data on fatigue strength of bone samples in vitro would conclude that these fractures should never occur at the strain levels known to occur in vivo. This anomaly can be resolved by including in the analysis the effect of stressed volume, whereby larger volumes of material are expected to have worse fatigue properties. A Weibull analysis was used to predict the probability of failure, Pf; this was an upper-bound prediction because it did not include the effects of remodelling and adaptation. Combining this analysis with a finite element model of the human tibia, we predicted a Pf value of 21% after five weeks of strenuous exercise, which is comparable with reported incidences in military personnel. The high incidence of stress fractures in the cannon bone of racehorses could also be predicted (Pf = 62%, compared to 70% experimentally). The approach can be used to investigate the effect of variables in the exercise regime such as the distance run per day and the use of improved footwear. It can also predict the increased risk of stress fractures in elderly people. The results suggest certain simple rules which may be of clinical value in designing exercise regimes and in understanding the risk factors for this type of injury.
Publication Date: 2001-09-20 PubMed ID: 11562142DOI: 10.1016/S0736-0266(01)00009-2Google Scholar: Lookup
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  • Journal Article

Summary

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This article presents research into predicting stress fractures in bones using a concept called ‘stressed volume’. By incorporating the volume of stress experienced by the bone into analysis, the researchers provided a method for predicting the likelihood of stress fractures from intense exercise regimes, age, and other factors.

Stress Fractures and ‘Stressed Volume’

  • The paper begins by acknowledging an unexplained issue in current scientific literature about stress fractures. Bone sample studies under laboratory conditions suggest that stress fractures should not occur at the strain levels found in living organisms.
  • To reconcile this inconsistency, the researchers introduced the concept of ‘stressed volume’, which suggests that larger volumes of material (such as bones) would naturally have lower fatigue properties and, therefore, be more prone to stress fractures.

Weibull Analysis and Probability of Failure

  • The researchers used a method called Weibull analysis to predict the probability of failure, denoted as ‘Pf’. This prediction acted as an upper limit because it did not factor in the processes of remodelling and adaptation, which are inherent to living organisms.
  • The probability of failure (Pf) is a measure of the likelihood of a stress fracture occurring in a particular context. In this study, the researchers used a Pf value to determine the likelihood of a stress fracture occurring after five weeks of strenuous exercise.

Findings and Application

  • After applying their methodology to a finite element model of the human tibia (shinbone), the researchers predicted a Pf value of 21% following five weeks of strenuous exercise. This matched the observed incidences of stress fractures in military personnel.
  • Predictions also corresponded with observations in the high percentage of stress fractures in racehorse cannon bones, where the Pf was predicted at 62%, close to the experimentally observed 70%.
  • This new method can be used to study the effects of different exercise variables, such as daily running distance or use of improved footwear, on the likelihood of stress fractures. It can also forecast the increased risk of stress fractures in elderly people.
  • Coupled with previous data, the results of this research can help devise safer exercise regimes and better understand risk factors for stress fractures.

Cite This Article

APA
Taylor D, Kuiper JH. (2001). The prediction of stress fractures using a ‘stressed volume’ concept. J Orthop Res, 19(5), 919-926. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0736-0266(01)00009-2

Publication

ISSN: 0736-0266
NlmUniqueID: 8404726
Country: United States
Language: English
Volume: 19
Issue: 5
Pages: 919-926

Researcher Affiliations

Taylor, D
  • Mechanical Engineering Department, Trinity College, Ireland. dtaylor@tcd.ie
Kuiper, J H

    MeSH Terms

    • Animals
    • Fractures, Stress / diagnosis
    • Fractures, Stress / physiopathology
    • Fractures, Stress / veterinary
    • Horses
    • Humans
    • Models, Biological
    • Predictive Value of Tests
    • Stress, Mechanical
    • Tibia / injuries
    • Tibia / physiopathology

    Citations

    This article has been cited 15 times.
    1. Sinclair J, Lynch H, Chockalingam N, Taylor PJ. Effects of Obesity on Medial Tibiofemoral Cartilage Mechanics in Females-An Exploration Using Musculoskeletal Simulation and Probabilistic Cartilage Failure Modelling.. Life (Basel) 2023 Jan 18;13(2).
      doi: 10.3390/life13020270pubmed: 36836627google scholar: lookup
    2. Sinclair J, Huang G, Taylor PJ, Chockalingam N, Fan Y. Effects of Running in Minimal and Conventional Footwear on Medial Tibiofemoral Cartilage Failure Probability in Habitual and Non-Habitual Users.. J Clin Med 2022 Dec 9;11(24).
      doi: 10.3390/jcm11247335pubmed: 36555951google scholar: lookup
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    15. Lee TC, Mohsin S, Taylor D, Parkesh R, Gunnlaugsson T, O'Brien FJ, Giehl M, Gowin W. Detecting microdamage in bone.. J Anat 2003 Aug;203(2):161-72.