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iScience2026; 29(8); 116830; doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2026.116830

Demographic change and selection patterns in thoroughbred racing horses over the 20th century.

Abstract: The Thoroughbred horse is a legacy of centuries of selective breeding for speed, emerging from the admixture of British mares and imported Oriental stallions. While previous work explored its genetic diversity, inbreeding, and selection signatures, the breed demographic and selection dynamics during the 20-century remain poorly understood. Here, we sequenced the genome of Phar Lap, a late-1920s/early-1930s racing champion, and analyzed the largest time-series of Thoroughbred whole-genome sequences, within a global panel of 850 horse genomes. Demographic modeling reveals a marked decline in genetic diversity since 1932, driven by a reduced effective population size, particularly until 1960. This aligns with a modest yet significant increase in long runs-of-homozygosity (ROH), suggesting that breeding practices only partially mitigated ROH accumulation and inbreeding depression. Temporal shifts in genetic variation identify candidate loci linked to racing performance, offering insights into past and ongoing selection, and new loci of major potential for the global racing industry.
Publication Date: 2026-07-17 PubMed ID: 42502398PubMed Central: PMC13400855DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2026.116830Google Scholar: Lookup
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  • Journal Article

Summary

This research summary has been generated with artificial intelligence and may contain errors and omissions. Refer to the original study to confirm details provided. Submit correction.

Overview

  • This study investigates the genetic changes and breeding patterns in Thoroughbred racing horses throughout the 20th century by sequencing genomes and analyzing genetic diversity, inbreeding, and selection dynamics.
  • It provides insights into how genetic diversity has declined, how breeding practices influenced inbreeding, and identifies key genetic regions linked to racing performance.

Background and Motivation

  • The Thoroughbred breed was developed over centuries by selective breeding, primarily mixing British mares with imported Oriental stallions to emphasize speed.
  • Previous research examined genetic diversity, inbreeding, and signatures of selection but lacked comprehensive analysis across the entire 20th century.
  • Understanding the demographic changes and selection patterns is crucial because these factors impact the health, performance, and sustainability of the breed in the racing industry.

Research Objectives

  • Sequence the genome of Phar Lap, a famous champion racehorse from the late 1920s and early 1930s, serving as an important historical reference.
  • Analyze a broad dataset of Thoroughbred whole-genome sequences spanning multiple decades to capture temporal genomic trends.
  • Assess genetic diversity and inbreeding over time, identifying demographic shifts and the impact of breeding practices.
  • Detect candidate genes and loci associated with racing performance and understand how selection shaped these genomic regions during the 20th century.

Methodology

  • Sequenced the genome of Phar Lap to obtain a historical genetic snapshot from around 1930.
  • Compiled and analyzed the largest time-series dataset available of Thoroughbred whole-genome sequences.
  • Included a global panel of 850 horse genomes for context, allowing comparison with other horse populations.
  • Applied demographic modeling techniques to infer changes in effective population size and genetic diversity over time.
  • Analyzed runs-of-homozygosity (ROH) to detect inbreeding levels and patterns across decades.
  • Identified genetic variants showing temporal shifts in frequency, pointing to loci under selection related to racing performance.

Key Findings

  • There has been a marked decline in genetic diversity since 1932 in Thoroughbreds, mainly due to a reduction in effective population size.
  • This reduction in genetic diversity was particularly pronounced until around 1960, indicating a population bottleneck or intensified selective breeding.
  • Long runs-of-homozygosity increased modestly but significantly, indicating some accumulation of inbreeding despite breeding strategies aimed at limiting it.
  • Breeding practices helped mitigate but did not fully prevent increases in homozygosity and potential inbreeding depression.
  • Temporal genetic shifts reveal candidate genomic loci linked to racing ability, highlighting ongoing artificial selection for performance traits.
  • New loci identified could have major potential benefits if incorporated into breeding programs aimed at enhancing racing performance worldwide.

Implications and Importance

  • Provides the most detailed temporal genomic portrait of Thoroughbred horses over the 20th century, filling a gap in understanding of breed evolution and health.
  • Helps breeders and geneticists understand the consequences of past breeding practices on genetic diversity and inbreeding, guiding future strategies.
  • Offers practical genetic targets for improving racing performance, contributing to the global horse racing industry’s productivity and sustainability.
  • Improved knowledge of the breed’s demographic history supports efforts to preserve genetic diversity and reduce risks associated with excessive inbreeding.

Summary

  • The study used genome sequencing and a large temporal dataset to examine Thoroughbred horses through the 20th century.
  • It found a decline in genetic diversity driven by smaller effective population size and noted moderate increases in inbreeding markers.
  • Selection has targeted specific loci associated with racing performance, with new candidate genes identified.
  • This research advances understanding of how breeding practices shape horse genetics and assists in optimizing racing horse populations going forward.

Cite This Article

APA
Asadollahpour Nanaei H, Seguin-Orlando A, Negara K, MacLeod JN, Kalbfleish T, Orlando L. (2026). Demographic change and selection patterns in thoroughbred racing horses over the 20th century. iScience, 29(8), 116830. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2026.116830

Publication

ISSN: 2589-0042
NlmUniqueID: 101724038
Country: United States
Language: English
Volume: 29
Issue: 8
Pages: 116830
PII: 116830

Researcher Affiliations

Asadollahpour Nanaei, Hojjat
  • Centre d'Anthropobiologie et de Génomique de Toulouse, CNRS/University of Toulouse, 37 Allées Jules Guesde, Toulouse 31000, France.
Seguin-Orlando, Andaine
  • Centre d'Anthropobiologie et de Génomique de Toulouse, CNRS/University of Toulouse, 37 Allées Jules Guesde, Toulouse 31000, France.
Negara, Kerry
  • Negara Film TV Media, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
MacLeod, James N
  • Gluck Equine Research Center, Department of Veterinary Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Kalbfleish, Ted
  • Gluck Equine Research Center, Department of Veterinary Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Orlando, Ludovic
  • Centre d'Anthropobiologie et de Génomique de Toulouse, CNRS/University of Toulouse, 37 Allées Jules Guesde, Toulouse 31000, France.

Conflict of Interest Statement

The authors declare no competing interests.

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