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Journal of gambling studies2026; doi: 10.1007/s10899-026-10568-2

Distribution of Losses Among Horse Race Bettors: An Analysis of Account-Based Player Tracking Data.

Abstract: Previous research on gambling loss patterns has mainly relied on self-reported data, which has some inherent biases (e.g., low accuracy). While some studies are based on large samples of horse bettors, few have examined how losses are distributed among them. The aim of this exploratory study was to examine the concentration of losses among gamblers playing horse betting games. Norsk Rikstoto, the Norwegian horse betting monopoly, provided account-based gambling data for all customers who bet with them between 2021 and 2023, covering 13 horse betting formats. To describe the shape of the loss distribution for each format, we calculated the mean-to-median loss ratio, the Gini coefficient, and the shares of total losses attributable to the top 1%, 5%, 10%, and 20% of bettors. Across all 13 betting formats combined, the mean-to-median loss ratio was 7.06 (min: 4.88, max: 11.53) and the Gini coefficient was 0.81 (min: 0.77, max: 0.87). Overall, the top 1% of bettors accounted for almost one-quarter of total losses (24.7%), while the top 20% accounted for 86.0%. This imbalance was most pronounced for single-race games (top 1%: 26.2-39.5%; top 20%: 87.3-91.5%) compared with the multi-race V-games (top 1%: 19.9-23.9%; top 20%: 81.0-87.5%). In summary, losses in horse betting are heavily concentrated among a relatively small share of bettors. The degree of inequality differs across game types, suggesting that product characteristics may play a role in shaping who loses and by how much.
Publication Date: 2026-10-10 PubMed ID: 42859324PubMed Central: 5579145DOI: 10.1007/s10899-026-10568-2Google Scholar: Lookup
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  • Journal Article

Summary

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Overview

  • This study analyzed detailed account data from Norwegian horse race bettors to understand how gambling losses are spread across players.
  • It found that losses are highly concentrated among a small proportion of bettors, especially in specific types of betting games.

Background and Motivation

  • Previous research on gambling losses often used self-reported data, which can be inaccurate or biased.
  • Horse race betting has been studied with larger samples before, but the distribution of losses among bettors was less examined.
  • The researchers aimed to explore how losses from horse race betting are distributed among individual players using actual betting account data.

Data and Methods

  • Data Source: Norsk Rikstoto, the Norwegian horse betting monopoly, provided comprehensive account-based tracking data for all bettors from 2021 to 2023.
  • Coverage: The dataset included 13 different horse betting game formats.
  • Metrics to Describe Loss Distribution:
    • Mean-to-Median Loss Ratio: Measures how skewed the loss distribution is (a high ratio indicates greater disparity).
    • Gini Coefficient: A statistical measure of inequality ranging from 0 (perfect equality) to 1 (maximum inequality).
    • Top Percentile Shares: The portion of total losses contributed by the top 1%, 5%, 10%, and 20% of bettors.

Key Findings

  • Overall Inequality:
    • The mean-to-median loss ratio across all 13 formats was 7.06, indicating that the average loss was more than seven times the median loss.
    • The Gini coefficient was 0.81, showing a very unequal distribution of losses among bettors.
  • Concentration of Losses:
    • The top 1% of bettors were responsible for nearly a quarter (24.7%) of all losses.
    • The top 20% accounted for 86.0% of losses, meaning most losses were concentrated within a minority of players.
  • Variation by Game Type:
    • Single-race games had even stronger concentration:
      • Top 1% accounted for 26.2% to 39.5% of losses.
      • Top 20% accounted for 87.3% to 91.5% of losses.
    • Multi-race “V-games” showed less extreme but still substantial concentration:
      • Top 1% accounted for 19.9% to 23.9% of losses.
      • Top 20% accounted for 81.0% to 87.5% of losses.

Implications and Conclusions

  • Losses in horse betting are heavily concentrated among a relatively small number of players.
  • The degree of inequality varies across betting product types, suggesting how a game is structured affects who loses and how much.
  • This insight could guide gambling policy, harm reduction efforts, and product design to better address problem gambling or financial risks.
  • Using actual account data provides a more accurate picture of gambler loss patterns than self-report methods.

Cite This Article

APA
Buzcular K, Rossow I, Pallesen S, Leino T. (2026). Distribution of Losses Among Horse Race Bettors: An Analysis of Account-Based Player Tracking Data. J Gambl Stud. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10899-026-10568-2

Publication

ISSN: 1573-3602
NlmUniqueID: 9425991
Country: United States
Language: English

Researcher Affiliations

Buzcular, Kerem
  • Department of Psychosocial Science, University of Bergen, P.O. Box 7807, Bergen, N-5020, Norway. kerembuzcu@gmail.com.
  • Department of Psychology, Bursa Technical University, Bursa, 16110, Turkey. kerembuzcu@gmail.com.
Rossow, Ingeborg
  • Department of Alcohol, Tobacco and Drugs, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Pallesen, Ståle
  • Department of Psychosocial Science, University of Bergen, P.O. Box 7807, Bergen, N-5020, Norway.
  • Norwegian Competence Center for Gambling and Gaming Research, University of Bergen, P.O. Box 7807, Bergen, N-5020, Norway.
Leino, Tony
  • Department of Psychosocial Science, University of Bergen, P.O. Box 7807, Bergen, N-5020, Norway.
  • Norwegian Competence Center for Gambling and Gaming Research, University of Bergen, P.O. Box 7807, Bergen, N-5020, Norway.

Conflict of Interest Statement

Declarations. Ethical Approval: The study was, according to the Norwegian Health Research Act, exempted from ethical approval as all data were provided anonymously. Informed consent was not provided as all analyses were based on player account data that the provider, Rikstoto, can make available for research purposes. Informed Consent: Informed consent was not required as the analyses utilized de-identified player account data. Competing Interests: The authors have no competing interests to declare that are relevant to the content of this article.

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