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Topic:Logistic Regression

Logistic regression is a statistical method used for modeling the probability of a certain class or event, such as the presence or absence of a particular condition, based on one or more predictor variables. In equine research, logistic regression can be applied to analyze various factors affecting horse health and performance. This method allows researchers to evaluate the relationship between independent variables, such as age, breed, and physiological parameters, and a binary outcome, such as the occurrence of a disease or a performance level. Logistic regression is valuable for identifying potential risk factors and making predictions about health outcomes in horses. This page compiles peer-reviewed research studies and scholarly articles that explore the application, methodology, and findings of logistic regression in equine studies.
West Nile virus in the Iberian Peninsula: using equine cases to identify high-risk areas for humans.
Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin    October 5, 2023   Volume 28, Issue 40 2200844 doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2023.28.40.2200844
García-Carrasco JM, Muñoz AR, Olivero J, Segura M, García-Bocanegra I, Real R.BackgroundWest Nile virus (WNV) is a flavivirus with an enzootic cycle between birds and mosquitoes; humans and horses are incidental dead-end hosts. In 2020, the largest outbreak of West Nile virus infection in the Iberian Peninsula occurred, with 141 clusters in horses and 77 human cases.AimWe analysed which drivers influence spillover from the cycle to humans and equines and identified areas at risk for WNV transmission.MethodsBased on data on WNV cases in horses and humans in 2020 in Portugal and Spain, we developed logistic regression models using environmental and anthropic variables to ...
Desmitis of the accessory ligament of the deep digital flexor tendon in the forelimb: A retrospective case study of 91 horses.
Equine veterinary journal    October 2, 2023   Volume 56, Issue 5 936-943 doi: 10.1111/evj.14010
Lynch N, Taylor CJ, McGilvray T, Tucker R, Bathe A, Elliott CRB, Smith RKW.Desmitis of the accessory ligament of the deep digital flexor tendon (ALDDFT) is a commonly reported injury. Despite the commonality of this injury, the literature is limited to small case series, with the reported success following treatment varying from 18% to 75%. Objective: To identify the prognosis and factors associated with a return to work following ALDDFT injury. Methods: Retrospective case series. Methods: Medical records of horses from four equine hospitals (January 2000 and December 2018) with a diagnosis of desmitis of ALDDFT were reviewed. Data retrieved included case detail, use...
Efficacy of the oral supplement, Equine Omega Complete, for the prevention of gastric ulcers and alpha-tocopherol supplementation in horses.
Journal of veterinary internal medicine    September 29, 2023   Volume 37, Issue 6 2529-2534 doi: 10.1111/jvim.16877
Williams Louie E, Nieto J, Wensley F, Morgan JM, Finno CJ, Berryhill EH.Omega-3 fatty acid and alpha-tocopherol supplementation reduces gastric ulcer formation in humans and rodents; however, efficacy of prevention in horses is unknown. Equine Omega Complete (EOC) is an oral supplement containing omega-3 fatty acids and alpha-tocopherol. Objective: Determine if EOC supplementation prevents gastric ulcers and increases serum alpha-tocopherol concentrations in healthy horses. Methods: Nine thoroughbred geldings; 5-13 years old. Methods: Prospective randomized block design, repeated in crossover model. Horses were administered EOC, omeprazole, or water PO for 28 ...
Distribution of degenerative changes in the equine endometrium as observed in a single versus two biopsies.
Theriogenology    September 25, 2023   Volume 213 52-58 doi: 10.1016/j.theriogenology.2023.09.018
Muderspach ND, Troedsson MHT, Ferreira-Dias G, Agerholm JS, Christoffersen M.Equine endometrial degeneration is diagnosed by microscopy of an endometrial biopsy but it is uncertain if findings in a single biopsy represent the state of the entire endometrium. Previous studies have compared samples from multiple sites but conclusions are inconsistent. Further clarification is therefore needed. In this study, presence and characteristics of endometrial degeneration were compared in two full thickness specimens from the ventral base of both uterine horns, obtained post mortem from cyclic mares (n = 82). Hematoxylin and eosin-stained sections were blinded evaluated for pe...
Associations between postrace atrial fibrillation and measures of performance, racing history and airway disease in horses.
Journal of veterinary internal medicine    September 23, 2023   Volume 37, Issue 6 2573-2583 doi: 10.1111/jvim.16878
Nath LC, Elliott A, La Gerche A, Weir J, Forbes G, Thomas G, Franklin S.Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common performance limiting arrhythmia in racehorses. High dose exercise and airway disease promote AF in humans. Few studies have investigated epidemiological factors associated with AF in horses. Objective: Explore variables relating to performance, exercise volume and postrace endoscopic findings in horses with AF. Methods: A total of 164 horses with poor race performance and postrace AF were compared to 321 horses with poor performance without AF (PP) and 314 horses performing to expectation (TE). Methods: Horse-level and race-level variables for horses...
Factors associated with safe completion of Fédération Equestre Internationale eventing cross-country (2008-2018).
Equine veterinary journal    September 12, 2023   Volume 56, Issue 5 902-913 doi: 10.1111/evj.14002
Bennet ED, Cameron-Whytock H, Parkin TDH.Equestrian eventing involves competing in three phases: dressage, jumping, and cross-country. Competitors are ranked by number of penalties accrued-with those who have fewer penalties ranked higher. Completing the cross-country phase with zero obstacle penalties is commonly referred to as 'running clear'. Understanding factors associated with running clear can help athletes plan strategically for success, while also helping governing bodies to refine qualification criteria for elite levels. Objective: This study was carried out to identify factors associated with running clear in the cross-cou...
Evaluating Trends in Strangles Outbreaks Using Temperature and Precipitation Data in the United States of America for 2018-2022.
Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland)    August 29, 2023   Volume 12, Issue 9 1106 doi: 10.3390/pathogens12091106
Thomas BA, Saylor RK, Taylor ZP, Rhodes DVL.Strangles is a highly contagious upper respiratory infection of equids that is globally distributed. The causative agent of strangles, subspecies , can be spread through indirect contact with infected fomites, and studies have shown this microbe to live well in varying environmental conditions. The purpose of this study was to analyze strangles case numbers across the United States of America from 2018 to 2022 to investigate potential temporal or weather patterns associated with outbreaks. Diagnosed case records were obtained from the Equine Disease Communication Center, university databases,...
Cars dent, horse riders break: Analysis of police-recorded injury incidents involving ridden horses on public roads in Great Britain.
Journal of safety research    October 28, 2022   Volume 84 86-98 doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2022.10.010
Pollard D, Grewar JD.Police-recorded road injury data are frequently used to approximate injury risk for different road user groups but a detailed analysis of incidents involving ridden horses has not previously been conducted. This study aims to describe human injuries resulting from interactions between ridden horses and other road users on public roads in Great Britain and identify factors associated with severe to fatal injuries. Police-recorded road incident data involving ridden horses (2010-2019) were extracted from the Department for Transport (DfT) database and described. Multivariable mixed-effects logis...
Mixed-Effects Modelling of the Risk Factors Associated with Multiple Pregnancies in Thoroughbred Mares.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI    July 20, 2022   Volume 12, Issue 14 1841 doi: 10.3390/ani12141841
Salem SE, Sinnott A, Roach JM, Verheyen KLP, de Mestre AM.Multiple pregnancies (MPs) are commonly diagnosed during breeding management of mares. Whilst some studies have reported on factors associated with the risk of MPs, few have utilised multivariable data analysis to control for confounding variables. A prospective cohort study of Thoroughbred broodmares was conducted with information collected on 27 factors. Mixed-effects logistic regression was used to determine risk factors for MPs. Mare, stallion, stud, and veterinarian were evaluated as random effects. The prevalence of MPs in 1754 mares and 2245 pregnancies was 16.06% (95% confidence interv...
Risk Factors for Exercise-Associated Sudden Cardiac Death in Thoroughbred Racehorses.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI    May 18, 2022   Volume 12, Issue 10 1297 doi: 10.3390/ani12101297
Nath L, Stent A, Elliott A, La Gerche A, Franklin S.Cardiac arrhythmias resulting in sudden cardiac death (SCD) are an important cause of racehorse fatalities. The objective of this study was to determine risk factors for SCD in Thoroughbreds by evaluating a sample with a policy of mandatory post-mortem following racing or training fatalities. Risk factors were compared between case horses with SCD (n = 57) and control horses with other fatal injury (OFI, n = 188) by univariable and multivariable logistic regression. Survival in years for horses with SCD was compared to OFI using the Kaplan−Meier method with log rank test. The following varia...
The impact of grade of laryngeal function immediately prior to laryngoplasty and ipsilateral ventriculocordectomy on postoperative performance: 623 Thoroughbred racehorses (1998-2013).
Equine veterinary journal    October 21, 2021   Volume 54, Issue 5 856-864 doi: 10.1111/evj.13523
Broyles AH, Embertson RM, Brett Woodie J, Machado V.There is persistent concern among some trainers, owners and veterinarians regarding the effect of preoperative laryngeal function grade on the outcome of laryngoplasty and ventriculocordectomy (LPVC). Objective: To determine the effect of laryngeal function grade prior to LPVC on postoperative performance. Methods: Retrospective case-series. Methods: Medical and race records of Thoroughbred racehorses diagnosed with recurrent laryngeal neuropathy (RLN) and treated with LPVC between 1998 and 2013 were reviewed. Horses were placed into three groups based on preoperative laryngeal function grade ...
The enteroinsular axis during hospitalization in newborn foals.
Domestic animal endocrinology    September 16, 2021   Volume 78 106686 doi: 10.1016/j.domaniend.2021.106686
Rings LM, Kamr AM, Kinsella HM, Hostnik LD, Swink JM, Burns TA, Christie K, David JB, Toribio RE.The enteroinsular axis (EIA) is an energy regulatory system that modulates insulin secretion through the release of enteroendocrine factors (incretins). Despite the importance of energy homeostasis in the equine neonate, information on the EIA in hospitalized foals is lacking. The goals of this study were to measure serum insulin and plasma incretin (glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide [GIP], glucagon-like peptide-1 [GLP-1] and glucagon-like peptide-2 [GLP-2]) concentrations, to determine the insulin and incretin association, as well as their link to disease severity and outcome in ho...
A cross-sectional study of Leishmania spp. in draft horses from the Distrito Federal, Brazil: Seroprevalence, spatial distribution, and associated factors.
Preventive veterinary medicine    August 17, 2021   Volume 195 105467 doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2021.105467
Biral NV, Azevedo Santos H, Senne NA, Paulino PG, Camilo TA, Tassinari WS, Silva VL, Santos FN, Angelo IDC.Equine leishmaniasis is a neglected tropical disease caused by the protozoan of the Leishmania genus, and it has been reported in several countries around the world, especially Brazil. Therefore, the present investigation aims to conduct a cross-sectional study to determine the prevalence, spatial distribution, and associated factors with seropositivity for Leishmania spp. in draft horses from the Distrito Federal, Brazil. The serological survey was conducted on 411 animals, employing the Indirect Immunofluorescence Test (IFA) and Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA). The Kappa (κ) and g...
Seroprevalence of Leptospira in Racehorses and Broodmares in New Zealand.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI    October 23, 2020   Volume 10, Issue 11 1952 doi: 10.3390/ani10111952
Bolwell CF, Rogers CW, Benschop J, Collins-Emerson JM, Adams B, Scarfe KR, Gee EK.A cross-sectional survey was conducted to determine the seroprevalence of in a cohort of horses and to evaluate potential risk factors for seropositivity in horses in New Zealand. The convenience sample included 499 Thoroughbred racing and breeding horses from 25 commercial properties in North Island, New Zealand. A questionnaire was used to collect demographic data on horses and property-level information on grazing and management practices, pest (rodent) management, access to natural waterways, other livestock on the property, and possible contact with wildlife. The microscopic agglutinati...
Analysis of Thoroughbred horse farm workers’ compensation insurance claims in Kentucky: Injury frequency, cost, lost time, and associated occupational factors.
American journal of industrial medicine    July 28, 2020   Volume 63, Issue 10 936-948 doi: 10.1002/ajim.23159
Flunker JC, Clouser JM, Swanberg JE.Thoroughbred horse farm workers self-report a high frequency of work-related injuries and pain. However, an analysis of Thoroughbred horse farm workers' compensation injury claims is absent from the literature, yet may benefit worker safety. We analyzed workers' compensation insurance firm data containing 2276 claims filed between 2008 and 2015. Injury frequency, cost, and lost time per cause, nature, and body part injured were examined qualitatively and via univariate tests. Factors associated with high cost and high duration lost time claims were modeled via multivariable logistic regression...
Caudal cervical vertebral morphological variation is not associated with clinical signs in Warmblood horses.
Equine veterinary journal    July 16, 2019   Volume 52, Issue 2 219-224 doi: 10.1111/evj.13140
Veraa S, de Graaf K, Wijnberg ID, Back W, Vernooij H, Nielen M, Belt AJM.Variation in equine caudal cervical spine morphology at C6 and C7 has high prevalence in Warmblood horses and is suspected to be associated with pain in a large mixed-breed group of horses. At present no data exist on the relationship between radiographic phenotype and clinical presentation in Warmblood horses in a case-control study. Objective: To establish the frequency of radiographically visible morphologic variation in a large group of Warmblood horses with clinical signs and compare this with a group without clinical signs. We hypothesised that occurrence of morphologic variation in the ...
Analysis of factors affecting the pregnancy rate of mares after inseminations with cooled transported stallion semen.
Theriogenology    January 2, 2019   Volume 127 7-14 doi: 10.1016/j.theriogenology.2018.12.036
Kareskoski M, Venhoranta H, Virtala AM, Katila T.Artificial insemination (AI) with cooled stallion semen has increased markedly during the last decades in all countries, but fertility is often lower than when fresh semen or natural mating is used. The objective of this study was to examine field data (1634 ,cycles 523 Standardbred (SB) mares, 575 Finnhorse (FH) mares, and 90 stallions) using multivariable logistic regression for factors influencing the pregnancy rate (PR) after AI with cooled transported semen from SB and FH stallions. The PR per cycle for the material was 47%: Finnhorses 42% and Standardbreds 53%. When assessed with multiva...
Assessment of Musculoskeletal Injuries Associated with Palpation, Infection Control Practices, and Zoonotic Disease Risks among Utah Clinical Veterinarians.
Journal of agromedicine    October 26, 2018   Volume 24, Issue 1 35-45 doi: 10.1080/1059924X.2018.1536574
Rood KA, Pate ML.Practicing veterinarians are exposed to unique occupational hazards and zoonotic diseases. National studies have highlighted an increase risk to injuries and a lack of veterinary awareness for these hazards. In Utah (and likely other states), reports of acquired zoonoses are sporadic, and underlying risk factors poorly understood. To better clarify occupational risk factors, the knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors of Utah veterinarians were examined. A total sample of 809 Utah veterinarians were identified from the 2017 licensure listing provided by the Utah Division of Professional Licensing....
Prevalence of Rhodococcus equi from the nasal cavity of 1010 apparently healthy horses.
Equine veterinary journal    February 5, 2018   Volume 50, Issue 5 667-671 doi: 10.1111/evj.12804
Gressler LT, Machado G, da Silveira BP, Cohen ND, Corbellini LG, Leotti VB, Diehl GN, Dos Santos LC, de Vargas AC.Rhodococcus equi is an important cause of foal pneumonia. While its isolation from different sources has been widely evaluated, there is a need to better understand the R. equi epidemiology from samples of the nasal cavity of healthy horses. Objective: To determine the prevalence of R. equi from the nasal cavity of healthy horses, along with its virulence profile, antimicrobial susceptibility and environmental variables associated. Methods: Cross-sectional study. Methods: Swabs from the nasal cavity of 1010 apparently healthy horses from 341 farms were submitted for bacteriological analyses. T...
Medical treatment of horses with deep digital flexor tendon injuries diagnosed with high-field-strength magnetic resonance imaging: 118 cases (2000-2010).
Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association    November 26, 2015   Volume 247, Issue 11 1309-1318 doi: 10.2460/javma.247.11.1309
Lutter JD, Schneider RK, Sampson SN, Cary JA, Roberts GD, Vahl CI.To describe the location and severity of deep digital flexor tendon (DDFT) lesions diagnosed by means of high-field-strength MRI in horses and to identify variables associated with return to activity following medical treatment. Methods: Retrospective case series. Methods: 118 horses. Methods: Medical records of horses with DDFT injury diagnosed with MRI over a 10-year period (2000-2010) and treated medically (intrasynovial administration of corticosteroids and sodium hyaluronan, rest and rehabilitation, or both) were reviewed. History, signalment, use, results of lameness examination and diag...
Clinical Research Abstracts of the British Equine Veterinary Association Congress 2015.
Equine veterinary journal    September 17, 2015   Volume 47 Suppl 48 28 doi: 10.1111/evj.12486_63
Lotstra RJ, van den Broek J, Power T, Marr CM, Wijnberg ID.Atrial fibrillation is a common equine arrhythmia. Quinidine alone, or with digoxin are common treatments. Studies on outcome in Warmblood populations in which duration of the AF is often unknown are limited. Objective: To identify the factors that are associated with the success of full treatment cardioversion with oral medication, and establish whether there are differences in these factors between institutions. Methods: Retrospective case series using patient records of Equine University Clinic of Utrecht University and Rossdales Equine Hospital, Newmarket. Methods: Forty-nine horses treate...
Speed and Cardiac Recovery Variables Predict the Probability of Elimination in Equine Endurance Events.
PloS one    August 31, 2015   Volume 10, Issue 8 e0137013 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0137013
Younes M, Robert C, Cottin F, Barrey E.Nearly 50% of the horses participating in endurance events are eliminated at a veterinary examination (a vet gate). Detecting unfit horses before a health problem occurs and treatment is required is a challenge for veterinarians but is essential for improving equine welfare. We hypothesized that it would be possible to detect unfit horses earlier in the event by measuring heart rate recovery variables. Hence, the objective of the present study was to compute logistic regressions of heart rate, cardiac recovery time and average speed data recorded at the previous vet gate (n-1) and thus predict...
Dominance rank is associated with body condition in outdoor-living domestic horses (Equus caballus).
Applied animal behaviour science    May 6, 2015   Volume 166 71-79 doi: 10.1016/j.applanim.2015.02.019
Giles SL, Nicol CJ, Harris PA, Rands SA.The aim of our study was to explore the association between dominance rank and body condition in outdoor group-living domestic horses, . Social interactions were recorded using a video camera during a feeding test, applied to 203 horses in 42 herds. Dominance rank was assigned to 194 individuals. The outcome variable body condition score (BCS) was recorded using a 9-point scale. The variables age and height were recorded and considered as potential confounders or effect modifiers. Results were analysed using multivariable linear and logistic regression techniques, controlling for herd group as...
Association of catastrophic biaxial fracture of the proximal sesamoid bones with bony changes of the metacarpophalangeal joint identified by standing magnetic resonance imaging in cadaveric forelimbs of Thoroughbred racehorses.
Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association    February 27, 2015   Volume 246, Issue 6 661-673 doi: 10.2460/javma.246.6.661
Peloso JG, Vogler JB, Cohen ND, Marquis P, Hilt L.To compare bony changes in the metacarpophalangeal joint (MCPJ) of racehorses with (cases) and without (controls) biaxial proximal sesamoid bone (PSB) fracture as determined by 2 grading scales applied to images of cadaveric forelimbs obtained by means of standing MRI (sMRI). Methods: Case-control study. Methods: Forelimbs from 74 Thoroughbred racehorses (21 cases and 53 controls) that were euthanized at a Florida racetrack. Methods: Both forelimbs were harvested from cases and controls. Each forelimb underwent sMRI to obtain images of the MCPJ. Two grading scales were described and used for i...
The interrelationship of lameness, saddle slip and back shape in the general sports horse population.
Equine veterinary journal    February 27, 2014   Volume 46, Issue 6 687-694 doi: 10.1111/evj.12222
Greve L, Dyson SJ.Saddle slip is usually blamed on saddle fit, crooked riders or horse shape, but may reflect hindlimb lameness. There are no studies of the frequency of occurrence of saddle slip and risk factors within a tested sample population of the general sports horse population. Objective: To quantify the frequency of saddle slip and to describe the association with lameness, thoracolumbar shape/symmetry, crooked riders and ill-fitting saddles. Methods: Nonrandom, cross-sectional survey using convenience sampling. Methods: Five hundred and six sports horses in normal work were assessed prospectively. Tho...
A nationwide surveillance scheme for equine grass sickness in Great Britain: results for the period 2000-2009.
Equine veterinary journal    June 8, 2011   Volume 43, Issue 5 571-579 doi: 10.1111/j.2042-3306.2011.00364.x
Wylie CE, Proudman CJ, McGorum BC, Newton JR.Equine grass sickness (EGS) remains a frequently fatal disease of equids in Great Britain (GB). The first nationwide surveillance scheme for EGS was developed to obtain information on the occurrence of EGS and to help facilitate future proposed intervention studies, such as vaccine trials. Objective: To collect both retrospective and prospective data on cases of EGS occurring in GB since 2000 and to assess potential risk factors for categories of EGS and survival after chronic EGS. Methods: Prospective data were collected using a nationwide surveillance scheme for EGS that was developed and in...
How do features of dressage arenas influence training surface properties which are potentially associated with lameness?
Veterinary journal (London, England : 1997)    October 5, 2010   Volume 186, Issue 2 172-179 doi: 10.1016/j.tvjl.2010.04.026
Murray RC, Walters J, Snart H, Dyson S, Parkin T.Results from a previous study indicated that there are specific arena surface characteristics that are associated with an increased likelihood of lameness in dressage horses. It is important to understand what modifiable arena factors lead to these detrimental surface characteristics. The aim of this study was to describe the use of training surfaces and arenas for United Kingdom dressage horses and to investigate any relationships between arena/surface variables and detrimental surface characteristics. Data from a questionnaire returned by 22.5% of all 11,363 registered members of British Dre...
Factors associated with likelihood of horses having a high serum Streptococcus equi SeM-specific antibody titer.
Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association    October 16, 2009   Volume 235, Issue 8 973-977 doi: 10.2460/javma.235.8.973
Boyle AG, Sweeney CR, Kristula M, Boston R, Smith G.To identify factors associated with an increased likelihood that horses would have a serum Streptococcus equi SeM-specific antibody titer > or = 1:1,600. Methods: Cross-sectional study. Methods: 188 healthy client-owned horses. Methods: A single serum sample from each horse was tested for SeM-specific antibody titer with an ELISA. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with having a titer > or = 1:1,600. Results: Age, breed, and vaccination status were significantly associated with the likelihood of having a titer > or = 1:1,600. The odds of having a ...
Factors influencing conception rates of Arab mares in Tunisia.
Animal reproduction science    May 4, 2009   Volume 117, Issue 1-2 106-110 doi: 10.1016/j.anireprosci.2009.04.010
Benhajali H, Richard-Yris MA, Ezzaouia M, Charfi F, Hausberger M.In order to investigate the factors affecting the reproduction efficiency of Arab breeding mares in Tunisia, breeding data corresponding to 2340 mated cycles, over 5 years (from 2000 to 2004), from 555 mares offspring of 50 sires and bred with 17 stallions were analysed using a multivariate logistic regression. We chose logit link function and binomial distribution and we used log-likelihood-ratio (LL) and Wald tests (X(2)Wald) to test the mean values. The factors of variation included in the model were the year, the stallion, the age of the mare at mating, the sire and the category of the mar...
Identification of risk factors for lameness in dressage horses.
Veterinary journal (London, England : 1997)    April 14, 2009   Volume 184, Issue 1 27-36 doi: 10.1016/j.tvjl.2009.03.020
Murray RC, Walters JM, Snart H, Dyson SJ, Parkin TD.The aim of this study was to describe the prevalence of illness and lameness at different anatomical sites in registered United Kingdom dressage horses and to identify risk factors for lameness. A questionnaire was sent to all 11,363 registered members of British Dressage in 2005, with one questionnaire assigned per horse. Four multivariable logistic regression models were developed for each section of the questionnaire. A final mixed effects logistic regression model was developed which combined the results from all prior models. Owners reported that 33% of horses had been lame at some time d...