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Topic:Predictive Model

Predictive models in equine research involve the use of statistical and computational techniques to forecast outcomes related to horse health, performance, and behavior. These models integrate various data inputs, such as genetic information, physiological parameters, and environmental factors, to predict future events or conditions. Applications of predictive models in equine science include anticipating disease outbreaks, assessing performance potential, and optimizing breeding strategies. By analyzing historical and real-time data, these models can provide insights that assist in decision-making processes. This page compiles peer-reviewed research studies and scholarly articles that explore the development, validation, and application of predictive models in the context of equine science.
Horse Jumping and Dressage Training Activity Detection Using Accelerometer Data.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI    October 7, 2021   Volume 11, Issue 10 doi: 10.3390/ani11102904
Eerdekens A, Deruyck M, Fontaine J, Damiaans B, Martens L, De Poorter E, Govaere J, Plets D, Joseph W.Equine training activity detection will help to track and enhance the performance and fitness level of riders and their horses. Currently, the equestrian world is eager for a simple solution that goes beyond detecting basic gaits, yet current technologies fall short on the level of user friendliness and detection of main horse training activities. To this end, we collected leg accelerometer data of 14 well-trained horses during jumping and dressage trainings. For the first time, 6 jumping training and 25 advanced horse dressage activities are classified using specifically developed models base...
What can artificial intelligence and machine learning tell us? A review of applications to equine biomechanical research.
Journal of the mechanical behavior of biomedical materials    August 12, 2021   Volume 123 104728 doi: 10.1016/j.jmbbm.2021.104728
Mouloodi S, Rahmanpanah H, Gohari S, Burvill C, Tse KM, Davies HMS.Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are fascinating interdisciplinary scientific domains where machines are provided with an approximation of human intelligence. The conjecture is that machines are able to learn from existing examples, and employ this accumulated knowledge to fulfil challenging tasks such as regression analysis, pattern classification, and prediction. The horse biomechanical models have been identified as an alternative tool to investigate the effects of mechanical loading and induced deformations on the tissues and structures in humans. Many reported invest...
Assessment of Age Effects on Ovarian Hemodynamics Using Doppler Ultrasound and Progesterone Concentrations in Cycling Spanish Purebred Mares.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI    August 8, 2021   Volume 11, Issue 8 2339 doi: 10.3390/ani11082339
Requena F, Campos MJAPM, Martínez Marín AL, Camacho R, Giráldez-Pérez RM, Agüera EI.In equine reproduction, accurate and timely detection of the moment of ovulation is of great importance. Power Doppler ultrasound technology is a non-invasive method that enables to assess the morpho-echogenic features and blood flow changes during the estral cycle in mares. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the influence of age on ultrasonographic parameters (follicular diameter, follicular blood flow-FBF, corpus luteum (CL) area and corpus luteum blood flow-CLBF) and blood plasma progesterone concentrations in cycling Spanish Purebred mares (15 less than 8 years old and 15 e...
Exploring the Severity of Craniomaxillofacial Injuries From Horseback Riding.
The Journal of craniofacial surgery    August 3, 2021   Volume 33, Issue 1 62-65 doi: 10.1097/SCS.0000000000008004
Stanbouly D, Besmer AV, Chuang SK.The purpose of our study is to assess the severity of craniomaxillofacial injuries from horseback-riding accidents. Methods: This is a 20-year retrospective cross-sectional study of the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System. Injuries from the activity of horseback-riding were included if they occurred in the craniomaxillofacial complex. Study predictors were derived from both patient and injury characteristics. The study outcome was the presence or absence (probability) of hospital admission from the emergency department. A multiple logistic regression model was created to model the o...
Performance of the Parasympathetic Tone Activity (PTA) index to predict changes in mean arterial pressure in anaesthetized horses with different health conditions.
Research in veterinary science    July 3, 2021   Volume 139 43-50 doi: 10.1016/j.rvsc.2021.07.005
Mansour C, Mocci R, Santangelo B, Sredensek J, Chaaya R, Allaouchiche B, Bonnet-Garin JM, Boselli E, Junot S.The parasympathetic tone activity (PTA) index is based on heart rate variability and has been developed recently in animals to assess their relative parasympathetic tone. This study aimed to evaluate PTA index in anaesthetized horses with different health conditions and the performance of PTA variations (∆PTA) to predict changes in mean arterial pressure (MAP). Thirty-nine client-horses were anaesthetized for elective or colic surgery and divided into "Elective" and "Colic" groups. During anaesthesia, dobutamine was administered as treatment of hypotension (MAP <60 mmHg). In both groups, no...
Retrospective analysis of horses with ultrasound evaluation of the sacroiliac region and response to local corticosteroid injection: 42 cases.
Journal of equine veterinary science    April 29, 2021   Volume 102 103634 doi: 10.1016/j.jevs.2021.103634
Ellis KL, Seabaugh K, King MR.Local injection of corticosteroids is commonly performed in horses with sacroiliac (SI) region pain and/or dysfunction, ,and ultrasound findings of normal horses and those with SI pain have also been well described. However, no studies have been performed that have evaluated if ultrasound findings, injection technique, or medications injected affect prognosis for return to function. The objectives of the current study are to determine if findings on ultrasound, injection technique, or medications injected are predictive of return to function in horses with SI region pain and/or dysfunction. Me...
Electrolytes and pH of Mammary Gland Secretions Assessments to Detect Impending Parturition and Associations With Placental and Neonate Features in Donkeys.
Journal of equine veterinary science    April 28, 2021   Volume 102 103636 doi: 10.1016/j.jevs.2021.103636
Magalhaes HB, Canuto LEF, Canisso IF.The objectives of this study were to determine (i) the usefulness of serial assessment of mammary gland electrolytes concentrations and correspondent pH to detect impending parturition in jennies; and (ii2) the associations between mammary gland secretions, and gestation length, foal sex, maternal, placental, and foal birth weights. Multiparous jennies (n = 37) were monitored daily from 350 to 355 days of gestation until parturition. The pH of mammary gland secretions was assessed daily with a hand-held device. Aliquots of mammary secretions were frozen daily and then retrospectively assesse...
Estimation of Liveweight from Body Measurements through Best Fitted Regression Model in Dezhou Donkey Breed.
Journal of equine veterinary science    March 26, 2021   Volume 101 103457 doi: 10.1016/j.jevs.2021.103457
Zhang Z, Zhan Y, Han Y, Liu Z, Wang Y, Wang C.Dezhou donkey is an excellent local hide, meat and milk breed in Shandong Province. To accelerate the speed of breeding, reproduction and conversation, correlation and multiple regression analysis between body weight (BW) and body size of Dezhou donkey rearing under intensive farms was made by SAS 9.4 software (Statistical Analysis for Windows). A total of 162 donkeys of both gender of age 2 ~ 10 years old were used to investigate the relationships between BW and body dimensional traits (cm) including height of withers, body length; thoracic depth, thoracic girth (TG), thoracic width (TW), cir...
Ethanol-Soluble Carbohydrates of Cool-Season Grasses: Prediction of Concentration by Near-Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (NIRS) and Evaluation of Effects of Cultivar and Management.
Journal of equine veterinary science    February 19, 2021   Volume 101 103421 doi: 10.1016/j.jevs.2021.103421
Kramer KJ, Kagan IA, Lawrence LM, Smith SR.Ethanol-soluble carbohydrates (ESCs) of cool-season grasses include mono- and disaccharides and sometimes short-chain fructans, which may exacerbate the risk of pasture-associated laminitis. A calibration for prediction of ESC concentrations by near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS) was developed from 323 samples of four cool-season grass species (orchardgrass, Kentucky bluegrass, tall fescue, and perennial ryegrass) across 10 cultivars collected in central Kentucky in the morning and afternoon over two growing seasons. The calibration, which had accuracy above 95%, was used to predict ...
Equine simplified acute physiology score: Personalised medicine for the equine emergency patient.
The Veterinary record    February 19, 2021   Volume 189, Issue 5 e136 doi: 10.1002/vetr.136
de Barros AMC, Silva AFR, Zibordi M, Spagnolo JD, Corrêa RR, Belli CB, de Camargo MM.Scoring models are useful tools that guide the attending clinician in gauging the severity of disease evolution and in evaluating the efficacy of treatment. There are few tools available with this purpose for the non-human patient, including horses. We aimed (i) to adapt the simplified acute physiology score 3 (SAPS-3) model for the equine species, reaching a margin of accuracy greater than 75% in the calculation of the probability of survival/death and (ii) to build a decision tree that helps the attending veterinarian in assessment of the clinical evolution of the equine patient. Methods: Fr...
Metabolic Predictors of Equine Performance in Endurance Racing.
Metabolites    January 31, 2021   Volume 11, Issue 2 doi: 10.3390/metabo11020082
Halama A, Oliveira JM, Filho SA, Qasim M, Achkar IW, Johnson S, Suhre K, Vinardell T.Equine performance in endurance racing depends on the interplay between physiological and metabolic processes. However, there is currently no parameter for estimating the readiness of animals for competition. Our objectives were to provide an in-depth characterization of metabolic consequences of endurance racing and to establish a metabolic performance profile for those animals. We monitored metabolite composition, using a broad non-targeted metabolomics approach, in blood plasma samples from 47 Arabian horses participating in endurance races. The samples were collected before and after the c...
Differences in the proteome of stallion spermatozoa explain stallion-to-stallion variability in sperm quality post-thaw†.
Biology of reproduction    January 14, 2021   Volume 104, Issue 5 1097-1113 doi: 10.1093/biolre/ioab003
Gaitskell-Phillips G, Martín-Cano FE, Ortiz-Rodríguez JM, Silva-Rodríguez A, Gil MC, Ortega-Ferrusola C, Peña FJ.The identification of stallions and or ejaculates that will provide commercially acceptable quality post-thaw before cryopreservation is of great interest, avoiding wasting time and resources freezing ejaculates that will not achieve sufficient quality to be marketed. Our hypothesis was that after bioinformatic analysis, the study of the stallion sperm proteome can provide discriminant variables able to predict the post-thaw quality of the ejaculate. At least three ejaculates from 10 different stallions were frozen following a split sample design. Half of the ejaculate was analyzed as a fresh ...
Predicting the spatio-temporal spread of West Nile virus in Europe.
PLoS neglected tropical diseases    January 7, 2021   Volume 15, Issue 1 e0009022 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009022
García-Carrasco JM, Muñoz AR, Olivero J, Segura M, Real R.West Nile virus is a widely spread arthropod-born virus, which has mosquitoes as vectors and birds as reservoirs. Humans, as dead-end hosts of the virus, may suffer West Nile Fever (WNF), which sometimes leads to death. In Europe, the first large-scale epidemic of WNF occurred in 1996 in Romania. Since then, human cases have increased in the continent, where the highest number of cases occurred in 2018. Using the location of WNF cases in 2017 and favorability models, we developed two risk models, one environmental and the other spatio-environmental, and tested their capacity to predict in 2018...
Label-free proteomics for discovering biomarker candidates of RAD140 administration to castrated horses.
Drug testing and analysis    January 5, 2021   Volume 13, Issue 5 1034-1047 doi: 10.1002/dta.2988
Cheung HW, Wong KS, To NS, Bond AJ, Farrington AF, Prabhu A, Curl P, Wan TSM, Ho ENM.Selective androgen receptor (AR) modulators (SARMs) are potent anabolic agents with a high potential of misuse in horseracing and equestrian sports. In this study, we applied label-free proteomics to discover plasma protein biomarkers in geldings (castrated horses) after administration with a popular SARM named RAD140. Tryptic peptides were prepared from plasma samples and analyzed by nano-flow ultrahigh-performance liquid chromatography-high-resolution tandem mass spectrometry (nano-UHPLC-HRMS/MS) using data-independent acquisition (DIA) method. Orthogonal projection on latent structure-discr...
An Environmental Niche Model to Estimate the Potential Presence of Venezuelan Equine Encephalitis Virus in Costa Rica.
International journal of environmental research and public health    December 30, 2020   Volume 18, Issue 1 227 doi: 10.3390/ijerph18010227
León B, Jiménez-Sánchez C, Retamosa-Izaguirre M.Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus (VEEV) is an arbovirus transmitted by arthropods, widely distributed in the Americas that, depending on the subtype, can produce outbreaks or yearly cases of encephalitis in horses and humans. The symptoms are similar to those caused by dengue virus and in the worst-case scenario, involve encephalitis, and death. MaxEnt is software that uses climatological, geographical, and occurrence data of a particular species to create a model to estimate possible niches that could have these favorable conditions. We used MaxEnt with a total of 188 registers of VEEV pr...
Machine learning augmented near-infrared spectroscopy: In vivo follow-up of cartilage defects.
Osteoarthritis and cartilage    December 30, 2020   Volume 29, Issue 3 423-432 doi: 10.1016/j.joca.2020.12.007
Sarin JK, Te Moller NCR, Mohammadi A, Prakash M, Torniainen J, Brommer H, Nippolainen E, Shaikh R, Mäkelä JTA, Korhonen RK, van Weeren PR, Afara IO....To assess the potential of near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) for in vivo arthroscopic monitoring of cartilage defects. Sharp and blunt cartilage grooves were induced in the radiocarpal and intercarpal joints of Shetland ponies and monitored at baseline (0 weeks) and at three follow-up timepoints (11, 23, and 39 weeks) by measuring near-infrared spectra in vivo at and around the grooves. The animals were sacrificed after 39 weeks and the joints were harvested. Spectra were reacquired ex vivo to ensure reliability of in vivo measurements and for reference analyses. Additionally, cartilage thickn...
Prediction of the metabolisable energy content of forages and mixed diets for horses: validation and comparison of two evaluation systems.
Animal : an international journal of animal bioscience    December 14, 2020   Volume 15, Issue 2 100086 doi: 10.1016/j.animal.2020.100086
Martin-Rosset W, Andueza D, Vermorel M.The metabolisable energy (ME) content of feeds is a better estimate of their 'true' energy value than their digestible energy (DE) content, because ME takes account of the gross energy of methane (GEgas) and the gross energy of urine (GEurine) losses. The accuracy and precision of the Gesellschaft für Ernährungsphysiologie (GfE) and Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA) systems for predicting the DE and ME contents of diets for horses were compared using the results of a study comprising 15 mixed diets. The INRA system was more accurate than the GfE system for predicting DE, G...
A deterministic simulation model for the evaluation of reproductive performance in Thoroughbred mares.
Theriogenology    December 11, 2020   Volume 161 237-242 doi: 10.1016/j.theriogenology.2020.12.012
Mure S, Oishi K, Hirooka H.The objective of the present study was to develop a deterministic simulation model for evaluating the reproductive performance of Thoroughbred mares. As an application, the model was used to estimate the herd level asymptotic foaling percentage (AFP) for evaluating the performance of mares in stabilized mare herds using the convergent method for estimating a steady-state distribution of mares. In this model, it was assumed that the mares were mated only during the breeding season. The effects of early pregnancy loss and fetal loss on reproductive performance were investigated. The sensitivitie...
Ventricular Restitution Predicts Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation in Horses.
Function (Oxford, England)    December 9, 2020   Volume 2, Issue 1 zqaa038 doi: 10.1093/function/zqaa038
Ramírez J, Tinker A.No abstract available
Towards compound identification of synthetic opioids in nontargeted screening using machine learning techniques.
Drug testing and analysis    December 9, 2020   Volume 13, Issue 5 990-1000 doi: 10.1002/dta.2976
Klingberg J, Cawley A, Shimmon R, Fu S.The constant evolution of the illicit drug market makes the identification of unknown compounds problematic. Obtaining certified reference materials for a broad array of new analogues can be difficult and cost prohibitive. Machine learning provides a promising avenue to putatively identify a compound before confirmation against a standard. In this study, machine learning approaches were used to develop class prediction and retention time prediction models. The developed class prediction model used a naïve Bayes architecture to classify opioids as belonging to either the fentanyl analogues, AH...
Metabolic changes induced by oral glucose tests in horses and their diagnostic use.
Journal of veterinary internal medicine    December 5, 2020   Volume 35, Issue 1 597-605 doi: 10.1111/jvim.15992
Delarocque J, Frers F, Feige K, Huber K, Jung K, Warnken T.Little is known about the implications of hyperinsulinemia on energy metabolism, and such knowledge might help understand the pathophysiology of insulin dysregulation. Objective: Describe differences in the metabolic response to an oral glucose test, depending on the magnitude of the insulin response. Methods: Twelve Icelandic horses in various metabolic states. Methods: Horses were subjected to 3 oral glucose tests (OGT; 0.5 g/kg body weight glucose). Basal, 120 and 180 minutes samples were analyzed using a combined liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry and flow injection analysis ...
The Composition and Predictive Function of the Fecal Microbiota Differ Between Young and Adult Donkeys.
Frontiers in microbiology    December 3, 2020   Volume 11 596394 doi: 10.3389/fmicb.2020.596394
Xing J, Liu G, Zhang X, Bai D, Yu J, Li L, Wang X, Su S, Zhao Y, Bou G, Dugarjaviin M.The community of microorganisms inhabiting the gastrointestinal tract of monogastric herbivores played critical roles in the absorption of nutrients and keeping the host healthy. However, its establishment at different age groups has not been quantitatively and functionally examined. The knowledge of microbial colonization and its function in the intestinal tract of different-age donkeys is still limited. By applying the V3-V4 region of the bacterial 16S rRNA gene and functional prediction on fecal samples from different-age donkeys, we characterized the gut microbiota during the different age...
Development and Validation of an Automated Video Tracking Model for Stabled Horses.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI    November 30, 2020   Volume 10, Issue 12 2258 doi: 10.3390/ani10122258
Kil N, Ertelt K, Auer U.Changes in behaviour are often caused by painful conditions. Therefore, the assessment of behaviour is important for the recognition of pain, but also for the assessment of quality of life. Automated detection of movement and the behaviour of a horse in the box stall should represent a significant advancement. In this study, videos of horses in an animal hospital were recorded using an action camera and a time-lapse mode. These videos were processed using the convolutional neural network Loopy for automated prediction of body parts. Development of the model was carried out in several steps, in...
Reliable and clinically applicable gait event classification using upper body motion in walking and trotting horses.
Journal of biomechanics    November 21, 2020   Volume 114 110146 doi: 10.1016/j.jbiomech.2020.110146
Roepstorff C, Dittmann MT, Arpagaus S, Serra Bragança FM, Hardeman A, Persson-Sjödin E, Roepstorff L, Gmel AI, Weishaupt MA.Objectively assessing horse movement symmetry as an adjunctive to the routine lameness evaluation is on the rise with several commercially available systems on the market. Prerequisites for quantifying such symmetries include knowledge of the gait and gait events, such as hoof to ground contact patterns over consecutive strides. Extracting this information in a robust and reliable way is essential to accurately calculate many kinematic variables commonly used in the field. In this study, optical motion capture was used to measure 222 horses of various breeds, performing a total of 82 664 steps...
Climate change is likely to increase the development rate of anthelmintic resistance in equine cyathostomins in New Zealand.
International journal for parasitology. Drugs and drug resistance    September 17, 2020   Volume 14 73-79 doi: 10.1016/j.ijpddr.2020.09.001
Sauermann CW, Leathwick DM, Lieffering M, Nielsen MK.Climate change is likely to influence livestock production by increasing the prevalence of diseases, including parasites. The traditional practice of controlling nematodes in livestock by the application of anthelmintics is, however, increasingly compromised by the development of resistance to these drugs in parasite populations. This study used a previously developed simulation model of the entire equine cyathostomin lifecycle to investigate the effect a changing climate would have on the development of anthelmintic resistance. Climate data from six General Circulation Models based on four di...
No-contact microchip measurements of body temperature and behavioural changes prior to foaling.
Theriogenology    August 21, 2020   Volume 157 399-406 doi: 10.1016/j.theriogenology.2020.08.004
Auclair-Ronzaud J, Jousset T, Dubois C, Wimel L, Jaffrézic F, Chavatte-Palmer P.Gestational length is highly variable in horses ranging from 320 to 360 days. Thus, determining parturition time is an important challenge for the horse industry. Body temperature can be used in cows and ewes as an indicator of parturition. Thus, the aim of this study is to determine if temperature can also be used as indicator of foaling. Thirty-nine mares were monitored over two foaling seasons (2018 and 2019). They were housed in 16 m stalls with access to pasture in group three times a week from 10:00 to 16:00. Night watch as well as video monitoring was ensured during foaling periods. Bo...
Cul o 2 specific IgG3/5 antibodies predicted Culicoides hypersensitivity in a group imported Icelandic horses.
BMC veterinary research    August 10, 2020   Volume 16, Issue 1 283 doi: 10.1186/s12917-020-02499-w
Raza F, Ivanek R, Freer H, Reiche D, Rose H, Torsteinsdóttir S, Svansson V, Björnsdóttir S, Wagner B.Culicoides hypersensitivity (CH) is induced in horses by salivary allergens of Culicoides midges. In Iceland, the causal Culicoides species for CH are not present. Previous epidemiological data indicated that Icelandic horses are more susceptible to CH when they are exported from Iceland and first exposed to Culicoides at adult age. Horses born in countries where Culicoides is endemic, develop the disease less frequently. Here, we established a longitudinal allergy model to identify predictive and diagnostic serological biomarkers of CH. Results: Sixteen adult Icelandic horses from Iceland wer...
Combining Threshold, Thurstonian and Classical Linear Models in Horse Genetic Evaluations for Endurance Competitions.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI    June 22, 2020   Volume 10, Issue 6 1075 doi: 10.3390/ani10061075
Cervantes I, Gutiérrez JP, García-Ballesteros S, Varona L.The racing time and rank at finish traits are commonly used for endurance horse breeding programs as a measure of their performance. Even so, given the nature of endurance competitions, many horses do not finish the race. However, the exclusion of non placed horses from the dataset could have an influence on the prediction of individual breeding values. The objective of the present paper was to develop a multitrait model including race time (T), rank (R) and placing (P), with different methodologies, to improve the genetic evaluation in endurance competitions in Spain. The database contained 6...
GIBBSTHUR: Software for Estimating Variance Components and Predicting Breeding Values for Ranking Traits Based on a Thurstonian Model.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI    June 8, 2020   Volume 10, Issue 6 1001 doi: 10.3390/ani10061001
Varona L, Legarra A.(1) Background: Ranking traits are used commonly for breeding purposes in several equine populations; however, implementation is complex, because the position of a horse in a competition event is discontinuous and is influenced by the performance of its competitors. One approach to overcoming these limitations is to assume an underlying Gaussian liability that represents a horse's performance and dictates the observed classification in a competition event. That approach can be implemented using Montecarlo Markov Chain (McMC) techniques with a procedure known as the Thurstonian model. (2) Metho...
Prediction of pharmacokinetic clearance and potential Drug-Drug interactions for omeprazole in the horse using in vitro systems.
Xenobiotica; the fate of foreign compounds in biological systems    May 20, 2020   Volume 50, Issue 10 1220-1227 doi: 10.1080/00498254.2020.1764131
Shibany KA, Pratt SL, Aldurdunji M, Totemeyer S, Paine SW.Horses are exposed to various kinds of medication, however, there are limited determinations of plasma clearance (CL) for the drugs used due to the high cost of equine studies.Many of the CL values generated come from the equine sports industry for determining drug plasma screening limits in the control of medications at the time of competition.The kinetics of omeprazole metabolism were investigated in freshly isolated and cryopreserved equine hepatocytes and hepatic microsomes ( = 3 horses).The V, K and intrinsic clearance (CL) of omeprazole were determined via the substrate depletion me...
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